Politics
Angela Rayner now THIRD favourite to become next Labour leader
The race to become the next Labour leader has taken a dramatic turn, with Wes Streeting now installed as the bookmakers’ favourite at 4/1.
The development comes amid mounting pressure on Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, who admitted she failed to pay the correct amount of stamp duty on her £800,000 seaside flat. Rayner has referred herself to Sir Keir Starmer’s ethics advisor, insisting the error was a mistake based on professional advice.
However, the scandal has fuelled growing calls for her resignation, creating fresh uncertainty around Labour’s leadership.
Political insiders suggest that any departure by Rayner would put Sir Keir in a highly difficult position just months into his premiership. Attention has already turned to who might ultimately succeed him at the top of the Labour Party, should events take a more dramatic turn.
| Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wes Streeting | 4/1 | 20% |
| Andy Burnham | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Angela Rayner | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Yvette Cooper | 10/1 | 9.1% |
Wes Streeting (4/1 – 20%)
The Health Secretary has emerged as the bookmakers’ frontrunner. Seen as one of Labour’s most polished media performers, Streeting has carved out a reputation as both pragmatic and ambitious. His growing profile and relatively clean slate compared with his rivals make him a strong contender.
Dave James, odds analyst at WhatAreTheOdds.co.uk, said: “Streeting has quietly built a reputation as one of Labour’s rising stars. The odds now make him favourite, and he has the blend of youth, experience, and media skills that could appeal to both party members and the wider electorate.”
Andy Burnham (7/1 – 12.5%)
The Mayor of Greater Manchester remains hugely popular outside Westminster and has long been tipped for a return to frontline politics. However, questions remain about his willingness to leave the North West power base he has cultivated.
James commented: “Burnham has the experience and charisma that many believe Labour could benefit from in the long term. But unless he re-enters Parliament, his chances remain more theoretical than practical.”
Angela Rayner (8/1 – 11.1%)
Despite her current difficulties, Rayner remains in the conversation as a potential leader. Her working-class roots and strong public following give her appeal, but her position is vulnerable in light of the growing stamp duty controversy.
James noted: “Rayner is a natural communicator and has long been seen as a grassroots favourite. But the current scandal could undermine her credibility, making her leadership prospects uncertain at best.”
Yvette Cooper (10/1 – 9.1%)
The experienced Home Secretary is viewed as a safe pair of hands and a respected party figure. However, her association with previous Labour leadership battles may count against her in a contest likely to favour fresh faces.
