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Oasis Reunion – Which Song Will the Band Kick Off With in Cardiff?

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With anticipation building around the long-awaited Oasis reunion, attention has turned to the setlist and more specifically, the first song the band will play when they take the stage at Cardiff’s Principality Stadium.

Bookmakers have installed Acquiesce as the early favourite at 6/4 (40%), closely followed by the high-octane classics Rock n Roll Star and Hello, both priced at 2/1 (33.3%).

The Cardiff date is expected to be the first of a UK-wide reunion tour, marking a historic moment for fans who have waited over 15 years for Noel and Liam Gallagher to reunite on stage.

Sources suggest the setlist will lean heavily into their era-defining 90s catalogue, with the opening track sure to set the tone for what could be the most talked-about tour in decades.

“The betting market is incredibly active, with fans putting real money behind their predictions. Acquiesce is a popular choice – it’s a proper fan anthem and a symbolic opener for a reunion – but don’t count out Rock n Roll Star, which has traditionally set the pace for their biggest gigs. The fact that there are strong odds on both shows just how unpredictable this moment will be.”

Dave James

odds analyst at Whataretheodds.co.uk

Other contenders include Some Might Say and The Swamp Song at 6/1 (14.3%), while the likes of Morning Glory, Roll With It, and Shakermaker are all at 8/1 (11.1%).

Emotional favourites like Live Forever and Don’t Look Back In Anger are priced longer at 10/1 and 12/1, suggesting they could be reserved for later in the set.

While fans will hope for deep cuts and surprises, it’s clear that any song that opens Oasis’s return to the big stage in Cardiff will carry weight and the betting markets are buzzing with anticipation.

SongOddsImplied Probability
Acquiesce6/440.0%
Rock n Roll Star2/133.3%
Hello2/133.3%
Some Might Say6/114.3%
The Swamp Song6/114.3%
Shakermaker8/111.1%
Morning Glory8/111.1%
Roll With It8/111.1%
Live Forever10/19.1%
Be Here Now12/17.7%
Don’t Look Back In Anger12/17.7%
Cigarettes & Alcohol12/17.7%
Supersonic16/15.9%
Half The World Away16/15.9%
Wonderwall20/14.8%
Go Let It Out20/14.8%
Columbia25/13.8%
Whatever33/12.9%
Stop Crying Your Heart Out33/12.9%
Stay Young50/12.0%
Stand By Me50/12.0%
Turn Up The Sun50/12.0%
Champagne Supernova66/11.5%
Little By Little100/11.0%
Slide Away100/11.0%

Music

John Lewis Magic Strikes Again: Labrinth Backed to Top Christmas Charts with Where Love Lives

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The John Lewis Christmas advert only dropped on Tuesday but its emotional new soundtrack is already shaking up the festive betting markets, writes Dave James.

Bookies have slashed the odds on Labrinth’s version of Where Love Lives becoming the 2025 Christmas Number One, cutting it from 25/1 to just 3/1 after an explosion of online searches, Shazams, and playlist adds within hours of the ad’s release.

This year’s advert, titled “Where Love Lives,” tells the touching story of a dad and his son who find their way back to each other through the gift of music. It’s based on the simple insight that as a nation, we often struggle to express how we feel but at Christmas, something in us wants to try.

At the emotional heart of the film is a reimagined version of Alison Limerick’s 1990s house anthem Where Love Lives, slowed down, stripped back, and beautifully rebuilt by Labrinth into a soulful reflection on connection, nostalgia and love.

Within hours of the advert’s debut, Labrinth’s version began trending across TikTok, YouTube and Spotify, with fans describing it as “the most moving John Lewis soundtrack yet.”

Bookmakers now believe the momentum could carry the track all the way to the top of the Christmas charts:

Labrinth’s Where Love Lives Odds

MarketOdds
To be 2025 Christmas Number One3/1
To reach UK Top 105/1
Labrinth’s Where Love Lives to reach UK Top 406/1

Dave James, spokesperson for What Are The Odds said:

“Every year, a John Lewis soundtrack becomes the emotional heartbeat of Christmas but Labrinth’s version feels like a genuine contender for Number One. It bridges generations with a track that’s both nostalgic and deeply moving.”

In a nod to the original, John Lewis has released both versions of Where Love Lives on an exclusive black 12” vinyl, available only in-store.

Side A features Alison Limerick’s iconic club classic, while Side B showcases Labrinth’s reimagined version from the advert, a perfect gift for music and Christmas fans alike.

Despite Labrinth’s late charge, it’s Wham! who remain firm favourites at 1/2 with Last Christmas a seasonal juggernaut that finally claimed its first Christmas Number One in 2023, nearly four decades after its release.

With streaming figures expected to soar again this December, punters still believe George Michael’s timeless classic will reign supreme.

However, the buzz around the John Lewis advert means Labrinth could yet mount an upset, echoing the chart success of past festive soundtracks such as Lily Allen’s Somewhere Only We Know and Aurora’s Half the World Away.

Christmas Number One Odds

Artist / SongOdds
Wham! – Last Christmas1/2
KPop Demon Hunters2/1
Labrinth – Where Love Lives3/1
Ed Sheeran4/1
Sabrina Carpenter6/1
Taylor Swift – The Fate of Ophelia8/1
LadBaby10/1
Sidemen12/1

From Lily Allen’s Somewhere Only We Know to Aurora’s Half the World Away, John Lewis has a rich history of turning its adverts into chart-topping moments.

With Labrinth’s Where Love Lives, the retailer might just have found its most powerful soundtrack yet and if the early betting markets are right, it could be heading straight for Christmas Number One.

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Music

Oasis to play Knebworth? Odds shorten as 30th Anniversary looms

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Speculation over more Oasis reunion shows has reached fever pitch after Liam Gallagher hinted at Wembley that fans could see the band back on stage again in 2026.

Online bookmakers have now slashed the odds on Oasis returning to Knebworth, the site of their legendary 1996 concerts to just 1/5.

The rumours follow the band’s triumphant string of reunion shows, which have been hailed as one of the biggest comebacks in music history. Fans have flooded social media with excitement and theories about what could be next for the Manchester icons.

Oasis are now 1/5 favourites to play Knebworth again next year, while they are even money (1/1) to perform at Manchester’s Etihad Stadium, marking 30 years since their iconic Maine Road gigs.

Such odds reflect growing confidence that the Gallagher brothers are gearing up for another major announcement.

“Next year marks 30 years since the brothers’ legendary Knebworth shows, and their unforgettable nights at Maine Road. With such a milestone ahead, it would be the perfect time for Oasis to extend their record-breaking tour after the phenomenal reaction so far.”

The reunion has already reignited a wave of nostalgia across the UK, with millions clamouring for tickets and venues selling out within minutes.

Industry insiders believe a return to Knebworth, a site forever linked with the band’s 90s dominance would be the ultimate celebration of their legacy.

Fan speculation intensified further when Liam Gallagher deleted a cryptic X post hinting at “unfinished business,” while Noel Gallagher dodged questions about a Knebworth return during a recent interview.

The brothers’ newfound chemistry on stage has only fuelled hopes that more shows are inevitable.

For now, the odds suggest something big could be in the works. With bookies pricing a Knebworth comeback as near-certain and Manchester gigs at 50-50, Oasis fans may want to start marking their 2026 calendars because the Gallagher brothers could be preparing to make history all over again.

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Music

Heartbreak or happiness? Expert reveals the odds on what really makes a hit song

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Taylor Swift has lifted the lid on her fears that happiness might kill her creativity – but her brand new album The Life of a Showgirl proves she can still write a smash without heartbreak.

The superstar, 35, admitted she once worried her best lyrics came from turbulent relationships, but now says she’s learned that contentment can be just as inspiring. The confession has reignited the age-old debate about whether misery really makes music magic.

To settle the score, one expert has gone so far as to crunch the numbers – and even put betting-style odds on whether heartbreak or happiness is more likely to create a hit.

Dave James from Whataretheodds.co.uk comments:

“We’d now make heartbreak a 3/1 outsider when it comes to producing a hit, compared with odds-on at 1/2 for songs born out of happy times. Taylor’s new record is living proof that joy doesn’t kill creativity – in fact, it often fuels it.”

He added: “Listeners want escapism and optimism right now. In 2025, we’re seeing a trend where upbeat anthems are outperforming ballads by nearly 40% on streaming platforms. It’s clear that fans are craving feel-good music.”

Music psychologist Dr Karen Evans agrees, adding: “There’s a misconception that great art has to come from pain. But happiness can give artists a fresh perspective and the freedom to experiment – which often resonates even more with listeners.”

She continued: “Emotion is emotion — whether it’s joy or heartbreak, both can inspire. But it’s refreshing to see someone like Taylor openly embracing happiness as part of her creative process.”

Music blogger and pop culture writer Leanne Peters added: “The old idea that artists have to suffer to succeed feels outdated. People connect to authenticity more than sadness now — and Swift’s latest album captures that perfectly.”

Fans have also weighed in. One Twitter user posted: “Taylor’s proven you can still write a banger without a breakup – she’s basically rewritten the pop rulebook.” Another joked: “If happiness sounds like The Life of a Showgirl, then I hope she stays happy forever.”

The theory is backed up by other stars. Adele has spoken about how motherhood reshaped her songwriting, while Ed Sheeran penned global hits about family life.

Pharrell’s Happy became one of the best-selling singles of the 21st century – proof that upbeat anthems can dominate just as much as ballads.

With The Life of a Showgirl already tipped to break records, it seems the odds are stacked firmly in favour of happiness – and Swift’s latest work might just change the way we think about where hits really come from.

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