Football
Alexander Isak Next Club Odds and Liverpool Move
Alexander Isak next club odds with Liverpool the 4/6 favourite to sign the Newcastle striker, and how the transfer saga resolved with his move to Anfield.
Last Updated 4 weeks ago
🟢 Outcome: Alexander Isak completed his move to Liverpool in September 2025. The market had it right, with Liverpool the clear 4/6 favourite throughout the saga.
Speculation over Alexander Isak’s future intensified after the Newcastle United striker was left out of the club’s pre-season tour to Asia.
While Newcastle cited a minor thigh injury, the timing raised eyebrows, with Liverpool installed as 4/6 favourites to sign the Swede before the transfer window closed.
Why Liverpool led the market
Despite recently adding Hugo Ekitike, Liverpool remained interested, with sources suggesting a deal hinged on Newcastle’s willingness to sell and whether Luis Diaz left Anfield.
Direct contact between Liverpool and Isak’s camp had reportedly been made, and the Reds were monitoring the situation closely.
“Liverpool’s interest in Isak hasn’t gone away. They’ve made initial contact, and if Newcastle open the door and Liverpool move Diaz on, things could move quickly. Isak has all the tools to thrive under the new system at Anfield,” said Dave James, odds analyst at What Are The Odds.
The chasing pack
Newcastle were 2/1 to keep hold of their top scorer, though financial fair play pressures and recruitment needs could force their hand if a major offer arrived.
A move to Saudi Arabia sat at 9/2, with Chelsea (16/1), PSG (25/1) and Arsenal (25/1) further back, and Real Madrid, Manchester United and Manchester City rated long shots.
Alexander Isak next club odds in full
| Club | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Newcastle | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Move to Saudi Arabia | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Chelsea | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| PSG | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Arsenal | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Real Madrid | 40/1 | 2.4% |
| Manchester United | 40/1 | 2.4% |
| Barcelona | 50/1 | 2.0% |
| Manchester City | 50/1 | 2.0% |
The market proved accurate, with Liverpool completing the signing once the pieces fell into place. More transfer and squad analysis sits in the site’s football coverage, including why clubs now treat young stars as the most valuable assets in the game.
