Music
Oasis Cardiff Reunion: Which Song Opened the Show?
The first-song odds for Oasis’s Cardiff reunion show had Acquiesce favourite, but the band opened with Hello, a 2/1 shot, on 4 July 2025.
Last Updated 6 hours ago
🎸 Market Result: Oasis opened their Cardiff reunion show on 4 July 2025 with Hello, priced at 2/1 in our pre-show market. The betting market on this event is now closed.
With anticipation building around the long-awaited Oasis reunion, attention turned to the setlist and, more specifically, the first song the band would play as they took the stage at Cardiff’s Principality Stadium.
The market favourites
Bookmakers installed Acquiesce as the early favourite at 6/4 (40%), closely followed by the high-octane classics Rock n Roll Star and Hello, both priced at 2/1 (33.3%).
The Cardiff date was set to be the first of a UK-wide reunion tour, marking a historic moment for fans who had waited over 15 years for Noel and Liam Gallagher to reunite on stage. Sources suggested the setlist would lean heavily into their era-defining 90s catalogue.
The betting market is very active, with fans putting real money behind their predictions. Acquiesce is a popular choice, a proper fan anthem and a symbolic opener for a reunion, but don’t count out Rock n Roll Star, which has traditionally set the pace for their biggest gigs. The fact that there are strong odds on both shows just how unpredictable this moment will be.
The outsiders
Other contenders included Some Might Say and The Swamp Song at 6/1 (14.3%), while Morning Glory, Roll With It and Shakermaker sat at 8/1 (11.1%).
Emotional favourites like Live Forever and Don’t Look Back In Anger were priced longer at 10/1 and 12/1, suggesting they were more likely to be saved for later in the set.
The full first-song market
| Song | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Acquiesce | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Rock n Roll Star | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Hello | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Some Might Say | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| The Swamp Song | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Shakermaker | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Morning Glory | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Roll With It | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Live Forever | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Be Here Now | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Don’t Look Back In Anger | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Cigarettes & Alcohol | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Supersonic | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Half The World Away | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Wonderwall | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Go Let It Out | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Columbia | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Whatever | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Stop Crying Your Heart Out | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Stay Young | 50/1 | 2.0% |
| Stand By Me | 50/1 | 2.0% |
| Turn Up The Sun | 50/1 | 2.0% |
| Champagne Supernova | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Little By Little | 100/1 | 1.0% |
| Slide Away | 100/1 | 1.0% |
In the event, the band chose Hello to launch the tour. More market-led music coverage sits in the site’s music odds, including the companion market on Liam’s first word on stage in Cardiff.
