West Ham United take on Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday in a 5:30pm kick-off at the London Stadium.
Like many sides up and down the country this weekend, the Hammers are set to welcome 2,000 fans back into their ground. They should be a happier bunch than in recent times after Monday night’s 2-1 win over Aston Villa took them up to fifth in the table after the opening 10 matches.
Man Utd, meanwhile, dramatically came from two goals behind to win at Southampton last week. However, the Red Devils’ 3-1 defeat at home to Paris Saint-Germain in midweek means they must avoid defeat at RB Leipzig on Tuesday in order to avoid being eliminated from the Champions League group stage.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side are even-money favourites to win the match, with the draw 11/4 and a home win 5/2.
Incredibly, Man Utd have won their last eight away matches in the league, scoring two or more goals in each of them. However, their record at West Ham isn’t great, failing to win in their last three visits there.
West Ham are undoubtedly a stronger outfit under David Moyes, taking 10 points from their five home games this season. However, they weren’t particularly convincing against Fulham or Villa, so it would not surprise me if Man Utd continue their winning run away from home.
I’m siding with both teams to score instead, though, with West Ham scoring in 12 of their last 13 league games and Man Utd scoring in 16 of their 18 league matches since Project Restart.
BTTS has landed in all four of United’s league wins away from home this season, too, and they’ll undoubtedly have some tired legs after a mentally and physically draining encounter with PSG in midweek.
With Andre Marriner officiating, I simply have to oppose cards. 17 of his last 18 Premier League matches have seen Under 5 Cards land, while the last six head-to-heads between these two sides have seen under five bookings brandished.
I will add Under 5 Cards for Both Teams Combined to our BTTS selection, then.
Marriner might be one of the lowest carding referees around, but strangely he has shown at least one in all 18 of those games. Backing Over 0 Cards for Both Teams Combined, too, takes our Bet Builder above evens:
Player cards are of little interest to me in most matches Marriner referees to be honest, so I’m looking elsewhere today.
West Ham have taken the lead in seven of their last eight league games, with Man Utd coming from behind to win in all four of their league games away from home. 9/1 for Solskjaer’s side to do so again (Sky Bet) looks a cracking price, then.
You can’t ignore Bruno Fernandes away from home, either. He’s scored in all four league games away from home this season, with 10 league goals in 10 away games since joining the club in January.
Marriner might be card-shy but he has shown four penalties in his five Premier League games this season, so there’s always a chance Bruno bags from the spot once again.
I like Betfair’s price of 3/1 for Fernandes to score and have two or more shots on target, with this landing in United’s last three away games. West Ham should sit deep, increasing the chance of him taking a few pot-shots from range as the Portugal midfielder loves to do.
I also think 11/5 for Fernandes and Bowen to have a shot on target each is a very good price (Betfar). Bowen bagged against Villa and has had a shot on target in three of West Ham’s last four home games.
With Michail Antonio unlikely to start according to Moyes, Bowen will be West Ham’s main goal threat in behind United’s defence.
They’re both as short as 1/4 to have a shot on target with Sky Bet, which would make a double pay around 4/7 with them, so Betfair’s price looks generous.
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