West Ham United take on Leeds United in the Premier League on Monday in a 8pm kick-off at the London Stadium.
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Leeds, meanwhile, can move level on points with 10th-placed Arsenal with a victory.
West Ham are 21/20 favourites to win, with the draw 13/5 and a Leeds win 5/2.
Personally I think West Ham are decent value here given that they have won four of their last five home games and Leeds have lost three of their last five on the road.
David Moyes’ side hugely impressed me despite losing to Man City, with Tomas Soucek and Declan Rice superbly playing through the opposition press at times, and Jesse Lingard and Michail Antonio posing a real threat on the break.
I expect Leeds to have a real hard time containing Antonio, who missed the reverse fixture through injury yet the Hammers still prevailed 2-1.
As such, I wouldn’t advise anyone against backing West Ham to win and/or Antonio to score, with both widely available at odds-against.
In terms of our Bet Builder, I’ll back the Hammers to score alongside Over 1 Cards for Both Teams Combined. Mike Dean officiates, with the 52-year-old showing both teams at least one card each in 10 of his last 11 PL games. Nine of those also saw 30+ booking points, so while I’m not expecting loads of cards in this one, I’m confident we’ll see Dean go to his book at least twice.
I can also see a fair few corners in this one. Leeds have conceded 3+ in all of their away games, with West Ham doing the same at home on all bar one occasion (against West Brom), so I’ll back each team to earn more than two corners each alongside Over 7 Corners for Both Teams Combined as the latter has landed in all bar one of Leeds’ away games and two of West Ham’s home games.
Over 0 Goals for West Ham, Over 1 Card for Both Teams Combined, Over 2 Corners for West Ham, Over 2 Corners for Leeds, Over 7 Corners for Both Teams Combined @ 4/5 (bet365).
If you’re looking for a bigger price, Both Teams To Score, 4+ corners each team and 1+ card each team is 10/3.
In terms of player cards, as mentioned I can see Antonio giving Leeds’ defence a hard time, so Diego Llorente and Liam Cooper appeal at 4/1 (Unibet) and 5/1 (bet365) respectively.
Likewise, I’m keen on the Leeds central defenders in Sky Bet’s tackles markets. Cooper has hit 2+ tackles in 17 of his 20 PL starts this season and 3+ in 12 of 20, so 4/7 and 7/4 are good odds respectively.
Llorente, meanwhile, has made nine tackles across his three PL starts, so 10/11 and 11/4 for 2+ and 3+ also appeal.
Shots are always worth having an eye over in Leeds games, with Antonio and Patrick Bamford both regularly hitting 2+ shots on target each this season (7/13 starts for Antonio and 11/26 starts for Bamford). Betfair have boosted the pair both doing so again to 6/1.
Perhaps Lingard and Raphinha may prove the more shot-hungry players on the day, though, with Lingard testing the opposition goalkeeper nine times in five starts and Raphinha having nine shots on target in his last eight starts.
A price I’m quite keen on is Antonio to score and Bamford, Raphinha and Lingard each to have a shot on target at 7/1.
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