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UK General Election: Which ‘party will succeed’ and when will it happen?



It remains, as ever, an interesting time in UK politics. The country has finally left the EU, yet the future of the nation remains uncertain.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has carried through the negotiations for Brexit, with many of his opposition leaders unhappy with the deal they have received.

Questions have, therefore, been asked about when the next general election may be carried out. And with a potential vote comes the potential for the parties to gain as many seats as possible.

It’s currently 4/7 for the next UK general election to take place in 2024. It’s 6/4 for it to happen sooner in 2023, and 12/1 for 2022.

KYIV, UKRAINE – MARCH 1, 2017: Boris Johnson, Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs of UK, takes a speech during Joint press conference of Foreign Ministers of Ukraine, UK and Poland

For an election to take place this year is currently 20/1. And finally it’s 25/1 for the UK to conduct an overview of their current situation and force a general election next year in 2021.

In regards to the number of seats won in any potential election, it’s unsurprisingly the Conservatives who are leading the race.

They’ve been the winning party in the last four elections, most recently in December 2019. The party had a seat majority of 80 last time out, their highest in recent years.

There was a 67.3% turnout last year, down from the 68.7% turnout in 2017.

The Conservative Party are available at 4/7 to win the most seats at the next general election.

Labour haven’t been the winning party since 2005, where Tony Blair won a 66 seat majority after also winning a 167 seat majority four years prior. 

Gordon Brown then succeeded Blair as leader of the Labour party in 2007, before becoming Prime Minister three days later.

But the party has lost support in recent years. They are currently 11/8 to reverse that trend and win the most seats in the next general election.

Other invested parties include the Liberal Democrats and the Brexit Party. They are currently 33/1 and 66/1 respectively to outscore their rivals in seats won.

The Greens meanwhile are currently 150/1.

Johnson succeeded Theresa May as Prime Minister in July 2019, and he will be keen to remain in charge in the years to come. 

But he may just face a stern challenge from several opponents, none more so than Labour. They provided his main competition last time out.

They fell short under Jeremy Corbyn, but will more than likely have a new leader come the next general election.

Sports Journalism graduate, Liverpool and Northern Ireland fan. Currently working as a freelance journalist for GOAL, while I am a graduate of the FISU Young Reporters Programme at the 2019 Winter Universiade in Krasnoyarsk, Russia. Can follow me on Twitter or view my linkdin biography or contact me via my email .

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