Strictly Come Dancing 2025: Odds and Winner

Last Updated 2 hours ago

Outcome: Karen Carney won Strictly Come Dancing 2025 with partner Carlos Gu, the first footballer to lift the Glitterball, with Amber Davies and George Clarke runners-up. Pre-series favourite Lewis Cope did not win.

The countdown to the Strictly Come Dancing 2025 Glitter Ball took an early twist, with bookmakers making Lewis Cope the outright favourite to win at 3/1 (25% probability).

The Emmerdale actor surged ahead in the betting after a wave of weekend support, leaving early frontrunners Ellie Goldstein and Dani Dyer sharing second place at 4/1 (20% each).

The line-up shifted before a ball was danced. Lewis Cope himself joined as a late replacement for Kristian Nairn, who withdrew on health grounds, while Dani Dyer later pulled out with a fractured ankle and was replaced by West End actress Amber Davies, who went on to reach the final.

Odds expert Dave James from whataretheodds.co.uk gave his run down of each contestant and their chances of winning Strictly.

The early favourites

Lewis Cope (3/1, 25%), Emmerdale actor

“Lewis Cope has stormed to the top of the betting and punters clearly see him as a serious contender. At 3/1 the Emmerdale actor is now the man to beat, and if his first performance goes well, those odds could shorten even further.”

Ellie Goldstein (4/1, 20%), model and disability rights advocate

“The internationally acclaimed model and disability rights advocate has broken barriers in the fashion industry, and now she’s turning her focus to the dance floor. Her inspiring journey and warm personality could make her a public favourite from day one. Ellie’s instantly likable presence will resonate with millions. If she nails her first routine, she could easily go on to win the whole competition.”

Dani Dyer (4/1, 20%), Love Island winner and actress

“The Love Island winner and actress is bringing her bubbly personality and loyal fan base to the ballroom. Having already proven her popularity on reality TV, she’s tipped to make a big splash in the early weeks. With her natural charm and willingness to throw herself into new challenges, she’s the complete Strictly package. If she dances half as well as she chats, she’ll go far.”

The chasing pack

George Clarke (6/1, 14.3%), TV architect from George Clarke’s Amazing Spaces

“Known for George Clarke’s Amazing Spaces, the TV architect has a knack for creativity and precision, qualities that often translate well into dance. His calm and composed TV persona might surprise audiences when the music kicks in. George is a surprise package. He’s not the obvious pick, but creativity often wins over the Strictly audience.”

Karen Carney (7/1, 12.5%), former England footballer turned pundit

“The former England footballer and sports pundit is no stranger to high-pressure situations. Her discipline, focus and competitive edge could give her the perfect mindset to tackle both ballroom and Latin challenges. Her competitive drive is unmatched. If she treats training like a World Cup final, she’ll be dangerous in the competition.”

Harry Aikines-Aryeetey (8/1, 11.1%), Team GB sprinter

“As a Team GB sprinter, Harry has speed, strength and explosive energy on his side. The question will be whether he can channel that athleticism into the control and grace required for Strictly’s more elegant numbers. Harry has the athleticism for the lifts and spins, but he’ll need to prove he’s more than just power.”

Thomas Skinner (10/1, 9.1%), businessman and The Apprentice star

“The businessman and The Apprentice star is as well known for his cheeky humour as his entrepreneurial ventures. His infectious enthusiasm could make him a big hit with viewers, though mastering technique will be his biggest challenge. Thomas’s personality will carry him far, and if he can combine it with solid technique, watch his odds shorten.”

Vicky Pattison (10/1, 9.1%), reality TV favourite and I’m a Celebrity winner

“A reality TV veteran, I’m a Celebrity winner and TV presenter, Vicky is used to public voting formats. With her confidence and determination, she could become one of the show’s most entertaining competitors. If she connects emotionally with her routines, she’s a real threat.”

The outsiders

Balvinder Sopal (12/1, 7.7%), EastEnders actress

“As EastEnders’ Suki Panesar, Balvinder is no stranger to performing under pressure. Her ability to convey emotion could shine through in dramatic routines, and soap fans are likely to rally behind her. Balvinder’s acting background could give her an edge in storytelling dances like the Rumba or Paso Doble.”

La Voix (14/1, 6.7%), drag performer and comedian

“The flamboyant drag performer and comedian brings big energy, quick wit and powerful vocals. Expect bold costumes and routines that light up the dance floor. La Voix is pure entertainment. If the judges buy into her energy, she’ll be a Saturday night highlight.”

Alex Kingston (16/1, 5.9%), star of Doctor Who and ER

“The Doctor Who and ER star is an accomplished actress with elegance and presence. Her poised style could suit the ballroom classics, though the fast Latin dances might be a steeper learning curve. If she adapts to the fast Latin dances, she could surprise a few people.”

Chris Robshaw (20/1, 4.8%), former England rugby captain

“The former England rugby captain has the physical strength for lifts and holds, but ballroom dancing demands a very different skill set. His competitive mindset could help him adapt quickly. Chris has the discipline of a pro athlete but will need to show lightness on his feet to progress.”

Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink (25/1, 3.8%), ex-Chelsea striker

“The ex-Chelsea striker is a sporting legend with charisma to spare. He’s competitive by nature, but learning complex routines will be a different type of training challenge. Jimmy’s competitive streak could shine, but dance floor finesse is very different to football flair.”

Stefan Dennis (25/1, 3.8%), Neighbours soap legend

“The Neighbours icon is beloved by soap fans worldwide. His decades in the industry mean he’s no stranger to performing, though the Strictly format will still be a big test. Stefan’s loyal fanbase could keep him safe early on, but he’ll need big performances to climb the odds.”

Ross King (33/1, 2.9%), TV presenter and entertainment correspondent

“The TV presenter and entertainment correspondent on Lorraine has interviewed some of the world’s biggest stars. He’s personable and polished, but the odds suggest he’ll need an unforgettable Week 1 to avoid the chop. Ross is likeable, but at these odds, the market says he’s vulnerable. A standout Week 1 is crucial.”

In the event, the market favourite was beaten. Karen Carney, an 7/1 chance when the betting opened, peaked at the right time to take the Glitterball with Carlos Gu. More market-led coverage sits across the site’s TV specials odds.