Tottenham Hotspur host Fulham in the Premier League on Wednesday in an 8:15pm kick-off at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Spurs will move third in the table with a victory, with Fulham able to move level on points with Brighton with a game in hand should they cause an upset.
Jose Mourinho’s side are odds-on 4/11 favourites to win the match, with the draw 4/1 and a Fulham considered a 15/2 shot.
Tottenham have won eight of their last nine home games in all competitions, with Fulham winning only one of their last nine away games in normal time, so I fancy Spurs to get the job done.
However, Scott Parker’s side have been solid defensively of late, conceding only two goals in their last four league games (all of which have been draws), so I don’t expect it to be easy.
As such, I’m going to back Spurs to score Over 0 Goals and Fulham to score Under 2 Goals. This will cover us in the event of a 1-1 draw.
With Paul Tierney officiating, it would be amiss not to back cards. He is averaging 4.5 cards per game in the Premier League this season, with eight of his 10 matches seeing both teams shown at least one card each, and six of his last seven seeing both teams awarded two more cards each.
Fulham rank first for fouls per game in the entire league, with Spurs ranking second in terms of fouls for and against, so I’d be amazed if there’s not cards in this game.
Parker’s side have been shown 1+ card in 14 of their 15 games and 2+ in 12 of 15, with Spurs’ opponents receiving 1+ in 14 of 16 and 2+ in 11 of 16, so I expect Fulham to pick up two, but will play safe with one.
I’ll also back Over 2 Cards for Both Teams Combined to bring our Bet Builder to an even-money shot:
If you’re looking for a bigger price, Spurs to win, 2+ Fulham cards, 1+ Spurs card and Under 4 Goals is 7/2. 13 of both of these sides’ league games have fallen under this goal mark this season.
In terms of player cards, I think Harry Winks is a cracking price at 5/1 (bet365) if he starts. The England midfielder is one yellow card away from a one-match ban, which Mourinho may consider a good time for Winks to sit out a game with a trip to bottom-placed Sheffield United forthcoming on Sunday.
Sergie Aurier (13/2, bet365) and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg (9/2, Unibet) lead the tackles and fouls count for Tottenham, meanwhile, with Ademola Lookman regularly fouled on that side of the pitch for Fulham.
As such, Aurier to make 4+ tackles at 11/8 (Sky Bet) appeals, with the Ivory Coast full-back hitting this mark in four of his eight starts this season, including a massive 10 against Sadio Mane! Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa is a busy player in midfield for Fulham, too, hitting 4+ tackles in four of his last six starts, including a massive 10 against Southampton! It could definitely be worth doubling the pair up if they start.
Harrison Reed is a niggly character in midfield who I tend to back to pick up a booking against superior opposition, but I’m not sure he’ll start, so my stronger fancy would be Joachim Andersen at 3/1. The defender has been booked in two of his nine starts since joining Fulham and is likely to struggle with Harry Kane’s physicality.