The games just keep coming for Tottenham Hotspur and on Sunday afternoon they welcome Burnley to the capital, as they look to channel their European form and kickstart their league season.
This will be the 2nd of four games in 12 days for Jose Mourinho’s side, so they’ll be grateful that they didn’t really have to break a sweat in the Europa League on Wednesday.
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Spurs were able to rest five of their starters (including Harry Kane and Heung-min Son) against Austrian side AC Wolfsberger, but still ran out 4-0 winners to take the tie 8-1 on aggregate and set up a Last 16 tuie with Dinamo Zagreb.
That victory means they are now averaging 4.00 goals scored per game at home in European competition, compared to 1.42 in the Premier League, and they’ll be optimistic of matching it considering they were able to put five past today’s opposition the last time they were in town.
Harry Kane scored a brace (and registered an assist) in that game, and he’s an enticing 9/2 to repeat that here. Spurs’ top scorer has scored six and picked up three assists in his last five against Burnley.
The Clarets typically haven’t enjoyed the fixture; winning just once in 11 attempts in the Premier League, with that single win coming back at Turf Moor, and picking up just a single point away from home.
They’ll be buoyed by impressive recent results though, including routing Crystal Palace by three goals to nil and battling to a famous victory at Anfield. That will, in turn, instill the belief that they can get something out of this game – especially given the fact Spurs have dropped points to Newcastle and Fulham at home already this season.
Mourinho’s side dominated both of those games, accumulating 6.33 ‘expected goals’ in comparison to their opponents 1.99xG.
A pair of draws in those games were much less than they deserved, and I can’t see them settling for less than three points again here. I’ll be using bet365’s BetBuilder function for a slightly better price than the one on offer too, opting for Tottenham to Win, Under 5 Cards and Under 5 Goals.
In Spurs’ 5 home league wins this season there has been an average of just 2.4 goals per game, whilst Burnley have seen less than 5 goals in nine of their 11 defeats this term.
As far as cards are concerned, I’m expecting a quiet day. The visitors have only seen five or more cards in one of their last 14, while Spurs have seen five or more in none of their last nine against sides in the bottom 8 – whilst referee Kevin Friend has only dished out 22 cards in his last 12 Premier League games.