Sheffield United host Manchester United in the Premier League on Thursday in a 8pm kick-off at Bramall Lane.
Chris Wilder’s side have had the worst start to a season in Premier League history by picking up only one point from their opening 12 games, with Man Utd able to move as high as fifth in the table with a victory.
They’re odds-on 4/9 favourites to win the game, with the draw 7/2 and a Sheff Utd win 6/1.
United have impressively won their last nine away league games, scoring two or more in all of them, and three or more in seven of the nine wins.
In their five this season, they have come from behind to win all of them, but Sky Bet’s odds of 15/2 for this to happen again do not appeal as the 9/1 I successfully tipped against West Ham, who had more attacking potency to take the lead.
I do fancy United to score two on their way to an away victory once again, with Sheff Utd conceding two or more in half of their league games this season.
I’ll also back Sheff Utd to pick up at least one card in the game; Wilder’s side have done so in nine of their 12 league games this season, picking up 16 yellows and a red card, with United possessing plenty of tricky customers who they will struggle to handle.
Indeed, only West Ham of United’s 11 league opponents this season did not pick up a card (with the notoriously card-shy Andre Marriner officiating that one), so I’m happy to back this Bet Builder at evens:
Elsewhere, Sky Bet have boosted two of those tricky attackers in Marcus Rashford and Bruno Fernandes to have 2+ shots on target each to 8/1, which seems a great price if both start. Fernandes has done so in five of his ten league starts this season, testing the opposition goalkeeper nine times in his four away starts.
Rashford has only managed 2+ shots on target in three of his 10 starts, but this bet would have landed in United’s fixtures against West Brom and Newcastle, so it’s definitely a good price given the calibre of the opponent and their likelihood to sit deep with the pair taking shots from range.
My other fancies are team news dependent, but having watched Sheff Utd lose 3-0 to Southampton, Ethan Ampadu looked to struggle in the holding role and was incredibly fortunate not to be cautioned. If he starts in midfield I like the look of him and Fred both to be carded at 25/1 (Betfair), with the United man booked in three of his seven league starts this season.
Adding Fernandes to score and have 2+ shots on target takes the bet to 90/1, which is a great price given the aforementioned stats and the fact Fernandes is on penalty duty. Michael Oliver officiates the clash, and he has awarded eight penalties in his 10 Premier League games this season.
With that in mind, 3/1 (William Hill) for a penalty to be awarded looks a great price, especially with the disparity in quality between the sides and United frequently being awarded one.
With bet365, I couldn’t put anyone off backing Enda Stevens, John Egan or Sander Berge to be booked, either, with all priced at 4/1 or above despite being cautioned twice, three times and four times respectively this season.