Netherlands take on Ukraine in Group C of Euro 2020 on Sunday in a 8pm kick-off at Amsterdam Arena.
Frank de Boer is likely to line his side up in a 3-5-2 system, with 6ft 6 in Wout Weghorst and Memphis Depay having the potential to be one of the tournament’s best strike partnerships.
Andriy Shevchenko may choose to match up with the Netherlands’ formation or persist with the 4-3-3 formation Ukraine have used in more recent matches.
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Netherlands are 8/13 favourites to win the match, with the draw 11/4 and a Ukraine win 5/1.
Personally I feel Netherlands are too short here, and I do like the look of the draw.
Ukraine’s last three competitive matches have all ended 1-1, including away to Euro 2020 outright favourites France in March, making this correct score look decent value at 7/1 (bet365).
Shevchenko’s side topped their qualifying group ahead of Portugal and Serbia so clearly deserve perhaps a little more respect than the bookmakers are giving them.
In terms of a Bet Builder, I’m keen to back Netherlands and oppose Ukraine in terms of corners.
De Boer’s side should have more of the ball, and they’ve had 5+ corners in each of their last 12 matches.
Ukraine’s recent corner count against teams competing at Euro 2020, meanwhile, reads: 3 v Finland, 0 v France, 2 v Germany, 3 v Spain, 0 v Germany, 2 v Spain and 2 v Switzerland (avg 1.71).
I’ll back Over 4 Corners for Netherlands and Under 5 Corners for Ukraine, then, to give us a little bit of breathing space in case Shevchenko’s side find themselves chasing the game.
With both sides potentially cancelling each other out I’m not keen on too many goals either, but equally I don’t expect a 0-0 either, so backing Under 4 Goals and Over 0 Goals give us an odds-against BB:
In terms of player props, the only price which caught my eye was Ruslan Malinovskiy to have a shot on target at evens (Betfair / Sky Bet).
No player assisted more goals in Serie A last season than Atalanta’s Malinovskiy, who has also chipped in with eight league goals in both of his two seasons in Bergamo.
The 28-year-old possesses a fierce strike on either foot, and Ukraine may find themselves having a dig from distance on occasion.
1-1 Draw @ 7/1 (bet365)
Under 4 Goals, Under 5 Ukraine Corners, Over 4 Netherlands Corners & Over 0 Goals @ 21/20 (bet365)
Ruslan Malinovskyi 1+ shot on target @ EVS (Sky Bet / Betfair)