Manchester United host Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League on Tuesday in a 8pm kick-off at Old Trafford.
The Red Devils are hitting form at the right time of the season, having remained unbetaen in their last eight matches. Victory tonight would see them move into second place, and just two points behind Liverpool at the top of the table.
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Wolves, meanwhile, have won only one of their last five matches, but claimed a deserved 1-1 draw against Tottenham on Sunday.
United are 4/7 to claim a crucial three points, with the draw 3/1 and a Wolves win 5/1.
Given United have had an extra day’s rest, I think these prices are more than fair to be honest. Wolves have not kept a clean sheet in their last eight matches, with United scoring 17 goals in the same time-frame.
Indeed, over 70% of these two sides’ matches this season have seen two or more goals scored at either end, so I’m happy to back Man Utd on the double chance while adding Over 1 Goals for Both Teams Combined. I think United will win, but a 1-1 draw would not exactly shock me either.
One thing I have noticed is that Wolves have been racking up the corners in recent weeks, hitting 5+ in each of the five games they have started without their injured talisman Raul Jimenez. Much of this is down to Adama Traore seemingly being back in favour, with the rapid winger flying down the touchline and full-backs blocking his attempted crosses.
Indeed, only once this season have Nuno Espirito Santo’s side failed to earn 3+ corners, so I’m happy to back this, especially with United conceding 3+ corners in 12 of their 14 matches this season (the two sides to fall short were nominally defensive sides in the shape of Newcastle and West Brom).
To bring our Bet Builder above evens, I’m also going to back Over 1 Cards for Both Teams Combined as I suspect both teams will fall foul of Jon Moss’ book at least once. Wolves have picked up a card in 12 of their matches this season to match 12 of United’s opponents picking up a card, and 13 of Wolves’ 15 opponents being booked this season, with United picking up a card in 12 matches.
However, like most English referees, Moss has generally been more lenient without crowds, averaging only 2.78 cards per game in his nine PL games this season. He has shown 2+ cards in 10 of his 14 matches since Project Restart, though, so with plenty of talented dribblers (and cynical players to foul them) on the pitch I’ll back a fairly cautious mark to land once again:
If you’re looking for a bigger price, I like the look of Man Utd to win, BTTS, 1+ card each team and 4+ corners each team at 9/1. Seven of United’s eight wins this season have come alongside BTTS, with more than half of Wolves’ matches this season seeing both teams earn 4+ corners.
Bet365 are offering their free in-play bet if you have a stake prior to kick-off (check your account for T&C’s). With Moss showing two penalties in his last three matches, and showing a fairly high career average of 0.31 penalties per game, you would have to fancy Bruno Fernandes to score anytime at 7/5.
In terms of player cards, Alex Telles is likely to come in for Luke Shaw, with the left-back looking a big price at 4/1 given how much he could physically struggle with Traore. I’m surprised to see him priced at 2/1 to make 3+ tackles (Sky Bet), too.
Ruben Neves 3/1 and Joao Moutinho 4/1 are both good options to be carded, too, given they have both been carded three times this season and are expected to offer more defensively without the injured Leander Dendoncker alongside them. Their compatriot Fernandes will cause them issues, with the Portuguese trio of Telles, Moutinho & Neves being carded paying 100/1.
We got Kante and Azpilicueta but were missing Cash yesterday, so let’s see if we can land the money today!