Manchester City take on Manchester United in the Premier League today in a 4:30pm kick-off at the Etihad Stadium.
The Citizens are looking to win a 16th consecutive league win to move 17 points clear of their city rivals at the top of the table.
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United, though, are on an impressive 21-game unbeaten run away from home in the league, stretching back to January 2020 when they lost 2-0 at Anfield.
City are odds-on 9/20 to end that run and extend their own, with the draw 7/2 and a Man Utd win 6/1.
Personally I can’t see beyond City winning this given the manner both sides are currently playing at the moment.
United have been hard to beat in big games this season, but City are on an entirely different level to rest of the league at present.
Rather than backing them to win, though, I’ll cover a 1-1 draw by backing Under 2 Goals for Man Utd and Over 0 Goals for Man City.
United have failed to score in each of their last six league games against fellow Big Six sides, while City have not conceded twice since a 2-0 loss to Tottenham in November.
In order to make our Bet Builder a double-your-money one, I’ll also back both sides to receive a card each.
This has landed in all 13 of Pep Guardiola’s matches against Manchester United, while Anthony Taylor has shown both sides a card in nine of his 15 PL games this season.
Over 0 Goals for Man City, Under 2 Goals for Man Utd, Over 0 Cards for Man City, Over 0 Cards for Man Utd @ EVENS (bet365).
If you’re looking for a bigger price, Man City to win, BTTS No, 1+ card each team and Under 5 Cards for Both Teams Combined is 5/1. Taylor has shown fewer than five cards in 10 of his last 11 PL games.
In terms of player cards, bet365 have some decent odds for this game in fairness, with plenty of candidates as always.
Fernandinho (five), Luke Shaw, Fred, Rodri, Gabriel Jesus (all three), Harry Maguire, Joao Cancelo, Bernardo Silva and Kyle Walker (all two) have all been booked multiple times in this fixture during the Guardiola era.
Shaw’s price of 4/1 certainly stands out to me, while Fernandinho has been booked in each of the last three Manchester derbies (as well as in his last start), so has to be backed if he starts ahead of Rodri.
They make a nice 18/1 double, while adding Fred takes it to 66/1. This landed in the most recent meeting between the sides at a smaller price.