Liverpool host West Bromwich Albion in the Premier League on Sunday in a 4:30pm kick-off at Anfield.
The Reds can move five points clear at the top of the table with a win, while West Brom are aiming to move closer to escaping the bottom three.
Jurgen Klopp’s side are heavily odds-on 1/8 favourites to win the match, with the draw 8/1 and a West Brom win a whopping 18/1.
It’s hard to disagree with the bookmakers given Liverpool’s astonishing record at Anfield; the champions are now unbeaten in 66 home league games, although the last manager to beat them was Sam Allardyce in a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace in April 2017.
There was no new manager bounce against Aston Villa last week, though, with Jake Livermore’s first half red card helping the in-form Villains to a comfortable 3-0 victory.
Liverpool have won 10 of their 11 home league games since Project Restart, scoring 2+ goals in each of them. To get more value on a Liverpool win, I’ll back Klopp’s side to win by two or more goals.
Only Leeds have scored more than once at Anfield this season, meanwhile, with West Brom scoring two goals on the road just once this season on their way to picking up a meager two points from seven away games. I’ll also back Under 2 Goals for West Brom.
West Brom have picked up at least one yellow card in 13 of their 14 matches this season, meanwhile, with Liverpool’s opponents picking up at least one in their last 13 matches. I’ll back the Baggies to receive Kevin Friend’s card at least once.
Lastly, to get our Bet Builder to the evens mark, I also expect Liverpool to rack up the corners against their low-block opposition. Only Burnley and Newcastle have failed to earn five or more corners against West Brom this season, so with Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andrew Robertson likely to be wingers for the majority of the game, I’ll back the Reds to earn Over 4 Corners:
With Friend only averaging 2.43 yellow cards per game this season and Liverpool matches rarely seeing too many cards shown anyway, I’m not too keen on backing individual player cards in this game.
If you are looking for an option, though, I’d consider Romaine Sawyers at 5/1 (Sky Bet). The midfielder has been booked 12 times in 52 starts for the Baggies, while around a dozen opposing central midfielders have found themselves in the book against Liverpool already this season.
I’ve had joy with backing Connor Gallagher and Grady Diangana in the tackles market this season, but Sky Bet appear to have wised up a bit ahead of this one, with both players odds-on to make three or more. 13/8 on Gallagher to make 4+ isn’t the worst price in the world, though, considering there will be extra defensive burden on him without Livermore and he has made 4+ in four of his 10 starts this season.