Liverpool take on Burnley in the Premier League on Thursday in a 8pm kick-off at Anfield.
The Reds need to win to keep their title hopes alive having failed to score in their last three league games.
Burnley, meanwhile, can put more distance between themselves and Fulham by gaining a positive result.
Liverpool are hugely odds-on 2/11 favourites to win the match, with the draw 6/1 and a Burnley win considered a massive 14/1 shot.
It’s tough to find any value in a one-sided match in terms of betting prices like this, especially with Liverpool proving pretty unreliable to back this season.
I do expect their attacking woes to come to an end, though, with the old adage that form is temporary, class is permanent surely turning in Jurgen Klopp’s side’s favour at some point.
Thiago Alcantara is still finding his feet in the Premier League but this is the type of opponent he should thrive against, with Sean Dyche likely to deploy a low-block, albeit while pressing off the ball more aggressively than some defensive teams do, which can help Thiago open up space for his team-mates.
As such, I’m going to back the Reds to score twice past Burnley, but I don’t expect this to be a bet which flies in early whatsoever.
Mike Dean officiates this one, with the 52-year-old averaging 3.91 cards per game this season. He has shown both teams a card each in nine of his 11 PL games this season.
However, Liverpool have only received a card in 11 of their 18 PL games, with Burnley’s opponents only receiving one in 10 of their 17 games. In contast, Liverpool’s opponents have received at least one card in all of their last 17 league games, with Burnley picking up a card in 14 of their 17 matches.
I’ll back Burnley to receive a card, then, while also backing Liverpool to win Over 1 Corner in each half. The Reds have won seven corners in five of their nine home games this season, with Burnley conceding seven in five of their nine away games, and I expect Liverpool to have at least one heavy spell of dominance in each half to help them earn at least a couple of corners:
If you’re looking for a longshot, Liverpool to win, BTTS, 2+ Burnley cards, 1+ Liverpool card, 7+ Liverpool corners and 3+ Burnley corners is 22/1.
Burnley have scored in each of their last three visits to Anfield, while Liverpool have only kept three clean sheets in their nine home games this season. They’ve also conceded 3+ corners in seven of their nine home games, with Burnley winning 3+ corners in seven of their nine away games.
In terms of player cards, my main fancies would be Matthew Lowton (bet365) and Ashley Westwood (Bet Victor), with both at 4/1. Lowton is likely to be up against Mane, who comfortably draws more fouls than any other Liverpool player, while Westwood has been booked in three of his last five league games and may be the Burnley midfielder tasked with getting closest to Thiago.