Leicester City take on Manchester United in the FA Cup on Sunday in a 5pm kick-off at the King Power Stadium.
Leicester have never won the FA Cup in their entire history, with Man Utd aiming to move behind Arsenal’s record of 14 FA Cup final victories.
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Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side are marginal 29/20 to win the match, with Leicester 19/10. The draw is 23/10, with extra-time and penalties ensuing in that scenario.
Both sides are without key attacking players heading into this fixture, with Anthony Martial, Marcus Rashford and Edinson Cavani all doubts for the visitors.
Ricardo Pereira, Harvey Barnes and James Maddison are definitely out for the hosts, meanwhile.
This could contribute to a fairly cagey affair between two evenly-matched sides, then, with United one point ahead of Leicester in the Premier League table.
Cards are generally harder to come by in the cup competitions, but in Saturday’s matches we saw seven shown across two games.
Craig Pawson officiates, too, with the 42-year-old one of the more reliable English referees for cards this season. He averages 3.88 cards per game in the PL, having shown both teams at least one card each in 13 of his last 15 PL matches.
Pawson has shown 30+ booking points in each of his last eight PL games, too, showing his consistency when it comes to dipping into his pocket.
Leicester (50) rank 3rd and United (48 + one red) rank 5th, meanwhile, for most cards received in the PL this season.
I’m happy to back 1+ card each team and 3+ cards overall, then, at 4/5 (bet365).
On that note, bet365 have some excellent prices on the player card markets.
Scott McTominay finally picked up his first domestic booking of the season last time out against West Ham, having made 33 fouls across his previous 24 league games. He was also booked in the first leg against AC Milan, making 15/2 seem far too big for a card.
You can double the Scotland midfielder up with either Youri Tielmans or Wilfried Ndidi for a whopping 50/1 longshot. Take your pick between the two really: Tielmans has six yellows in 28 league starts, with Ndidi picking up three in 16. My personal preference would be towards the latter as he’s a much more prolific fouler and may be tasked with tracking Bruno Fernandes.
Central defenders Jonny Evans and Harry Maguire will both be facing their former clubs, too, and they lead both clubs’ league booking counts with seven and eight respectively.
As such, 20/1 (Betfair) looks a very good price for both players to be booked given the pace and quality they are likely to come up against.
One of those players will be Jamie Vardy, who has dropped a little deeper without Barnes and Maddison in recent weeks. The former England man showed there is more to his game than running in behind and scoring against Sheffield United last weekend, laying on three assists for his team-mates.
As such, 11/2 (Betfair) looks a decent price for him to assist a goal. Kelechi Iheanacho has been in excellent goalscoring form of late and could be the man to benefit once again.
Likewise, Vardy has made at least one tackle in four of his last six league games, making evens (Sky Bet) for him to make another seem decent value given that he may find himself tracking back in the fashion we were used to seeing him do in his younger days.