Leicester City take on Chelsea in the Premier League on Tuesday in a 8;15pm kick-off at the King Power Stadium.
Leicester would move top of the table if they can beat the Blues, albeit with the Manchester clubs both playing on Wednesday evening.
Chelsea, meanwhile, will leapfrog Everton into sixth if they can defeat the Foxes.
Leicester are considered marginal 15/8 underdogs to win the match, with the draw 5/2 and a Chelsea win 7/5.
Unsurprisingly, the bookmakers are struggling to split these evenly-matched sides. In that case, then, I’m surprised to see the draw comfortably the biggest price.
Both meetings were score draws last season, so 7/2 (Bet Victor) for this looks a good price.
In terms of our Bet Builder, both sides have received plenty of cards lately, with Chelsea picking up nine cards in their last three PL games, and Leicester receiving at least one in 16 of their 18 PL matches this season.
Craig Pawson is the official at the King Power, with the 41-year-old showing the two sides he has been refereeing at least one card each in 12 of his last 15 PL games.
Admittedly the two times this hasn’t landed this season were both in Chelsea games, but Leicester will pose the Blues significantly more problems than Brighton and Newcastle did in those meetings.
Indeed, identically to Chelsea, Leicester’s opponents have been carded in 15 of their 18 matches this season. As such, I’m happy to back both teams to receive 1+ card each.
As mentioned, I quite fancy both teams to score here, but this is undoubtedly a selection which lands less frequently without crowds.
Instead, providing Jamie Vardy starts as expected, I’ll back Over 0 Goals for Leicester. Chelsea’s only impressive clean sheet on the road this season was at Manchester United, with Vardy, James Maddison and Harvey Barnes all in electric form at present.
To bring our Bet Builder to evens, I’ll also back Over 4 Corners for Both Teams Combined as this has landed in all 36 of the two teams’ matches combined this season:
If you’re looking for a bigger price, BTTS, 2+ Leicester cards, 1+ Chelsea card and 4+ corners each team is 11/2. Leicester have received 2+ cards in 13 of their 18 league matches this season, while both teams earned 4+ corners in both meetings last season.
Adding an extra Chelsea card and a draw takes it to 25/1, which landed in the last meeting at the King Power last February.
In terms of player bets, N’Golo Kante is out with a hamstring injury. Jorginho has been booked in his last three league games against Leicester, so is worth backing at 3/1 (Unibet) if he starts ahead of Billy Gilmour at the base of Chelsea’s midfield.
Wilfried Ndidi looks a big price at 4/1 (bet365), with the double with Jorginho paying 14/1.
There are some other big prices on bet365, too, with the likes of James Maddison, Marc Albrighton, James Justin, Youri Tielmans, Mason Mount and Thiago Silva all 5/1 or bigger despite each of them being carded three or more times this season.
Barnes looks a great price to have a shot on target, too, at 4/6. The winger has scored three goals in his last four matches, testing the opposition goalkeeper 1+ in 10 of his 15 starts and 2+ six times.
Vardy should be passed fit, with the former England striker hitting the target at least once in 13 of his 16 starts and at least twice eight times.
Interestingly, both players have been getting stuck in off the ball more often lately, with both registering a tackle each in Leicester’s last two games.
Given that Chelsea are likely to have more possession, I’ll most likely be requesting both players to hit the target once and twice each while also registering a tackle each at odds of around 6/1 and 25/1 respectively (Sky Bet). If Tammy Abraham starts I may include him to have a shot on target, too, as the England striker has done so in nine of his 10 league starts this season.