The early evening kick off comes between Leicester and Brighton at the king power in what should be an intriguing clash. Both sides like to get the ball down and play but both are at opposite ends of the table.
Brighton picked up a late win on their return against Arsenal and that should do their confidence a world of good. It was a tight game but their finish fold and it puts them in 15th place, five points clear of the drop which is a nice cushion to have. It will be interesting to see if they now go into games happy for a point to keep them at arms length.
Leicester were involved in late drama themselves at the weekend, taking the lead against Watford in the 90th minute courtesy of a Ben Chillwell howitzer but somehow succumbed to a 1-1 draw with Craig Dawson’s overhead kick squirming it’s way in. That will have annoyed Brendan Rodgers and no doubt he will be after a response here.
As far as the betting goes I think the prices are about right. But I’m going to head to the BetBuilder feature to combine a few short prices that should be straightforward. First I’ll take over 1 goal in the game, if you take each teams games’ expected goals they average out around 3 per game. 83% of these two’s combined games see at least 2 goals as well.
I’m not expecting many cards though, both rank pretty low for cards and we have a referee in Lee Mason who isn’t know for dishing out cautions for nothing. Take Brighton to have under 4 cards and Leicester to have under 4 cards.
One of the reasons that Brighton games don’t see many cards is because they aren’t known for quick transitions that draw tactical fouls. Their approach play is much more reserved and cautious and teams therefore don’t mind letting them have it in less dangerous areas. That usually leads to a lack of corners in their games.
Only Wolves games average fewer corners than the Seagulls’ games and taking under 13 corners looks to get a lot on your side, especially when you throw in Leicester games average the fifth fewest corners in the league.
If you combine all these four in a BetBuilder it pays a backable 10/11 and it looks a nice stats-based way in.