Euro 2020 finally begins on Friday night as Turkey take on Italy at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, at 20:00 BST.
Italy, who are led by former Manchester City manager Roberto Mancini, head into the tournament on a phenomenal 27-match unbeaten run and have received significant backing in the outright market in recent weeks.
The Turks, meanwhile, are considered one of the more lively outsiders after impressing throughout qualifying, including taking four points from favourites France.
What are the Italy v Turkey Bet Builder Tips?
Italy are 1/2 favourites to win the Euro 2020 opener, with the draw 11/4 and a Turkey win 7/1.
Personally, I don’t see any value in the Italy win despite them being an impressive outfit under Mancini.
Only Hungary (twice) have beaten Turkey in their last 20 matches, with the likes of France, Germany, Russia, Croatia and the Netherlands – who will all compete at this summer’s tournament – either held or beaten by Senol Gunes’s side during that run.
However, Italy have only failed to score in one of their 19 competitive games under Mancini, with Turkey’s defence a little leakier in recent times (conceding two or more in five of their last seven competitive matches), so I am happy to back them to score.
Moreover, Italy should dominate possession having averaged close to 60% across their last nine competitive games, compared to Turkey, who are averaging only a little above 50%.
Build a Italy v Turkey bet builder with Bet365:
The Azzurri have earned 4+ corners in all bar one of Mancini’s 32 games in charge of the national team, and 5+ in 13 of their last 15 games. Turkey have conceded 5+ in nine of their last 12 competitive games.
Lastly, given the adrenaline of having fans inside Stadio Olimpico and competing in front of millions of viewers during a major international tournament opener, I will also back both teams to receive a card to receive odds of 21/20.
Danny Makkelie of Holland is the man with the whistle, and this has landed in 18 of his last 20 matches in all competitions. In his eight Champions League matches this season, he averaged 5.38 cards per game.
If you’re looking for a bigger price, we can start by backing Turkey to receive 2+ cards instead, with The Crescent Stars averaging 2.32 cards per game across their last 19 competitive matches.
We can also back Both Teams To Score, as Turkey have only failed to score in four of their last 19 competitive matches, and possess plenty of firepower in the likes of Burak Yilmaz and Hakan Calhanoglu, who enjoyed fine seasons with Lille and AC Milan respectively.
This gives us a tasty 9/2 shot, although it’s worth pointing out that if you’re keen on Italy, also backing them to win makes it 10/1.
Looking at other markets, a penalty to be awarded looked a decent price at 12/5 (William Hill) given that Makkelie averaged 0.63 penalties per game in both the Eredivisie and the Champions League last season.
Jorginho to be carded anytime at 9/2 and the first player to be carded at 20/1 (both bet365) also caught my eye. The Chelsea midfielder is no stranger to a caution in the big occasions having received four in 12 CL matches last season.
Both him and Okay Yokuslu picked up two during qualifying for Euro 2020 and may be left exposed at the base of their respective three-man midfield’s at times, so a 14/1 double appeals.
In the goalscoring stakes, much will hinge on Ciro Immobile and Yilmaz for either side, with the two strikers firing in 36 league goals between them this season.
Betfair have a nice boost on the pair to each have 2+ shots on target at 16/1, while the pair both to score is around 25/2.
Italy v Turkey BetBuilder Tips
Over 0 Goals for Italy, Each Team To Receive A Card & Over 4 Corners for Italy @ 21/20 (bet365)
Both Teams To Score, 2+ Turkey cards, 1+ Italy card & 5+ Italy corners @ 9/2 (bet365)
A Penalty Awarded @ 12/5 (William Hill)
Okay Yokuslu & Jorginho to be carded @ 14/1 (bet365)
Jorginho first player carded @ 20/1 (bet365)