Fulham take on Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday in a 4:30pm kick-off at Craven Cottage.
The hosts are guaranteed to remain out of the relegation zone if they can pull off a shock victory against the champions, with Jurgen Klopp’s side possibly having an opportunity to move top depending on whether Tottenham beat Crystal Palace earlier in the day.
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Fulham are 13/2 underdogs to win, with the draw 17/4 and a Liverpool win odds-on at 4/11.
Despite Fulham’s recent improvement, I fancy the Reds to end their recent struggles on the road with a win in west London.
Klopp’s side have scored two or more in nine of their 11 games, with Fulham conceding two or more in six of their 11 matches, so I’m happy to back Liverpool to score twice on their way to victory, too.
With Andre Marriner officiating I’m always keen to oppose cards: he is averaing just 1.67 yellow cards per game in the Premier League this season, showing less than four in all six of his matches at this level this season.
Liverpool have picked up the fewest cards in the division so far, with eight of their 11 matches going under the 40 booking points mark this season, with seven of Fulham’s 11 going below this mark, too. I have requested Liverpool to win & score 2+ goals and under 40 booking points with Sky Bet, which is en even-money shot:
Liverpool are definitely without Diogo Jota after the Portugal forward suffered a knee injury in midweek, meanwhile, so Sadio Mané and Mohamed Salah will flank the champions’ attack.
Despite the world-class duo having two or more shots on target in a game nine times combined this season (Salah five times in 10 starts, Mané four times in nine starts), it has only occurred for both of them in the same game once, which feels like a bit of a statistical anomaly.
With Jota out and neither likely to be substituted early unless the game is well won, I’m keen on Sky Bet’s double up boost of Salah and Mané both to have 2+ shots on target each at 5/1. Given it is only 3/1 with Betfair it’s a very fair price in a game Liverpool should dominate.
Fulham do possess a threat in transition with the likes of Ivan Cavaleiro, Adomola Lookman and Bobby Reid, though, with all three odds-against to test Liverpool’s goalkeeper once with Betfair.
Cavaleiro has led the line in recent weeks, having five shots on target in his last three matches, so odds of 6/4 for him to have at least one more in this match appeal.
With Marriner officiating I’m loathe to get involved with player cards, but given that 10 opposition central midfielders have been booked against Liverpool already this season, 4/1 for Harrison Reed looks a fair price (Betfair).
Ola Aina was booked eight times for Torino last season and the right-back may have a torrid time against Mané, so 5/1 (bet365) appeals, while youngsters Neco Williams 8/1 (bet365) and Curtis Jones 10/1 (Betfair) are both too big if they start, even with Marriner in charge.