Denmark take on Finland in the opener of Group B at Euro 2020 on Saturday in a 17:00 BST kick-off at Parken Stadium, Copenhagen.
Outside of the eight favourites, the Danes head into Euro 2020 as the shortest-priced dark horse in the tournament and will be expected to progress into the knockout stages.
The Eagle-Owls, meanwhile, are set to compete at the first major tournament in their entire history, so the pressure is off them in terms of any real expectations.
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Denmark are 4/9 favourites to win this match, with the draw 3/1 and a Finland upset 8/1.
Personally I think the odds on Denmark look half decent here given their excellent form of late.
I tipped them to go far in the competition in one of our outright previews, so they really should be beating a team of Finland’s quality (or lack thereof) if they are to live up to my billing.
Sometimes it is best to keep things simple when betting, and I can’t help but be attracted by Denmark to win to nil at evens (bet365).
Nine of their last 10 victories have come in this manner, while Finland failed to score in both of their warm-up friendlies against Sweden and Estonia recently.
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Norwich striker Teemu Pukki, who is by far their most talented attacker, is rumoured to be struggling with the ankle injury which he picked up towards the end of the season, too, potentially blunting Finland even further.
If you’re looking for a bit more juice, three of Denmark’s last six wins have ended 2-0 and this looks a decent price at 5/1 (bet365).
Anthony Taylor holds the whistle for this Nordic clash, and there are plenty of central midfielders who aren’t shy of a booking set to take to the field.
Thomas Delaney and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg provide an extremely solid base behind Christian Eriksen in Denmark’s midfield, with the duo picking up two bookings each in Euro 2020 qualifiers and the Nations League respectively.
Delaney received six bookings in only 14 league starts for Borussia Dortmund last season, with Hojbjerg picking up nine cautions in the Premier League for Spurs.
Finland, meanwhile, have 34-year-old Tim Sparv, who picked up three bookings during Euro 2020 qualifiers and six in 18 games for AE Larisa in the Greek Super League last season.
Glen Kamara appears to be more tenacious for his country, too, having picked up four bookings in his last 12 qualifiers, although the Rangers man did also receive three cards in 10 Europa League games for Steven Gerrard’s side last season.
It should be a fierce battleground in the middle of the park on Saturday, then, so I’ll have a stab at a couple of doubles with Betfair.
Sparv and Delaney pays 16/1, with Kamara and Hojbjerg paying 22/1. Feel free to switch them around, or back a treble; whatever takes your fancy, really, but remember to keep your stakes sensible as these bets can prove difficult to land.
Lastly, I also noticed that Kasper Schmeichel has picked up four bookings in his last 12 qualifiers himself, making 20/1 (bet365) excellent value for the Leicester City man to be carded.
Clearly he’s keen on time-wasting for his country, so if Denmark take the lead as I expect them to, these odds will almost certainly shorten in-play.
Denmark to win to nil @ EVS (bet365)
Denmark to win 2-0 @ 5/1 (bet365)
Tim Sparv & Thomas Delaney to be booked @ 16/1 (Betfair)
Glen Kamara & Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg to be booked @ 22/1 (Betfair)
Kasper Schmeichel to be booked @ 20/1 (bet365)