Connect with us

Stats

Data Suggests Which Teams to Back on Opening Weekend

Published

 

on

At the start of every new season, the onus is to get the first win as quickly as possible. Failing that, get a draw from your opening game and hope that the first three points will follow quickly.

Whataretheodds.co.uk has analysed all 27 opening weekends in the history of the Premier League to find out which of the current top flight teams are used to getting off to a winning start and which teams are slow out of the blocks.

Research suggests Manchester City should add to their impressive run at West Ham while their neighbours Manchester United will be looking to stay top of the win percentage table when they host Chelsea this weekend and the Blades will be hoping to be as sharp as they have in previous opening weekends as Sheffield United mark their return to the top flight at Bournemouth.

With their name etched 13 times on the Premier League trophy, it’s perhaps no surprise to discover Manchester United top of the table when it comes to the percentage of opening weekend fixtures won since the restructure in 1992/93.

But seeing Sheffield United alongside the Red Devils will surprise many.

Granted, the Old Trafford side have been an ever-present in all 27 seasons to win 66.6 per cent of their games while the Blades have featured in just three campaigns. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will hope his side can get off to another winning start at home to Chelsea this weekend and add to the 18 wins they have already registered on the opening weekend including their last four.

They have only failed to score in three of their 27 matches. Chris Wilder’s side have taken seven points from a possible nine in their opening fixtures in the top flight and a trip to Bournemouth offers the Blades a chance of improving to 75 percent of opening day wins with victory at the Vitality Stadium.

Chelsea, under the management of Frank Lampard, have won 62.9 per cent of their opening day fixtures.

The Blues travel to Old Trafford this weekend knowing their record away from home on the first day is one of the best in the league. Coventry were the last team to defeat Chelsea when the Sky Blues won 2-1 at the start of the 1998/99 campaign.

Since then, the Stamford Bridge club has taken 19 points from a possible 21 with a 0-0 draw at Stoke in 2011 the only time they dropped points.

Liverpool beat West Ham 4-0 a year ago to start what turned out to be their best season ever in the top flight with just one defeat in 38 matches. But it wasn’t enough to finish ahead of champions Manchester City who pipped them to the title by a single point.

Since losing 3-0 at West Brom in August 2012, Liverpool have won five and drawn one of their last six openers. The Reds have only lost four of their first games in the Premier League and only once at Anfield when Chelsea beat them 2-1 in 2003 thanks to goals from Juan Veron and Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink.

Arsenal have notched 14 opening day wins over the years, but they have been slow starters in recent campaigns with just two wins in their last nine openers.

Four of their seven defeats have come in the last six seasons which has dragged their winning percentage down to 51.8 per cent.

Only one other team has managed to win at least half of their opening day games in the Premier League and that is the defending champions Manchester City. The Citizens travel to West Ham hoping to start their ninth successive league season with a win.

They have only conceded one goal in their last six openers when Jermain Defoe equalised for Sunderland before a Paddy McNair own goal gave City a 2-1 win.

City’s recent form is in stark contrast to their early days in the Premier League when they had to wait until their seventh season to get their first win on the first weekend.

At the other end of the table, Brighton hope it is a case of third time lucky. The Seagulls have not taken a point or scored a goal on the opening weekend of a Premier League season – although this will be just their third campaign in the top flight.

Last season they lost 2-0 at Watford 12 months after losing 2-0 at home to Manchester City in August 2017.

Southampton are entering their 21st Premier League season but their opening day record is poor with just two winning starts managed in the previous 20 with both coming away from home – at West Brom in 2013 and at Coventry in 1999.

The Saints have drawn half of their games including the last four they’ve played at St Mary’s where they will face Burnley in their first game of the new season.

Norwich won their first ever Premier League game 4-2 at Arsenal in 1992, but since then, they have struggled on the opening weekend. Four defeats and three draws has left the Canaries with a 12.5 per cent winning record. Opening day wins have been hard to come by for Leicester and Watford who both start the season having won just 16.6 per cent of their first games.

Leicester’s last opening day win came at home when they beat Sunderland 4-2 in 2015 – the season they won the league.

Watford’s 2-0 win over Brighton at Vicarage Road 12 months ago was the first time in six seasons they began a Premier League season with a win and they will be favourites to do the same this season at home to the same side.

OPENING DAY WIN PERCENTAGETEAMOPPONENT
66%Manchester Utd5/4 to beat Chelsea
66%Sheffield Utd11/10 to beat Bournemouth
62.9%Chelsea2/1 to beat Man Utd
55.5%Liverpool2/13 to beat Norwich
51.8%Arsenal5/6 to beat Newcastle
50%Man City5/19 to beat West Ham
43.4%West Ham12/1 to beat Man City
40%Wolves3/1 to beat Leicester
38.4%Tottenham3/10 to beat Aston Villa
37.5%Aston Villa9/1 to beat Tottenham
30%Crystal Palace2/1 to beat Everton
29.1%Newcastle Utd7/2 to beat Arsenal
26.9%Everton11/8 to beat Crystal Palace
25%Bournemouth10/11 to beat Sheffield Utd
20%Burnley13/8 to beat Southampton
16.6%Leicester6/5 to beat Wolves
16.6%Watford10/11 to beat Brighton
12.5%Norwich18/1 to beat Liverpool
10%Southampton7/4 to beat Burnley
0%Brighton3/1 to beat Watford

Author Biography: . I have written for a number of publications for the last 20 years. You can contact me via email here, or follow me on twitter or view my linkdin profile.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Latest News

Politics12 hours ago

Next Pope: Who will ‘take over from Francis I’ when the time comes?

Pope Francis may be nearing his reign over the Catholic Church, and there are many names in contention for the...

Football1 day ago

Copa del Rey winner: Who will ‘win Spanish Cup’ this season?

Just four teams remain in this season’s Copa del Rey. It’s now Real Sociedad, Athletic Bilbao, Granada and Mirandes who...

Football3 days ago

Man Utd Technical Director: Will the club ‘bring in a former player’ to help out?

Manchester United are going through one of the most difficult periods in the club’s entire history. Manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer...

Football4 days ago

England Goalkeepers: Who will be Southgate’s ‘preferred shot-stoppers’ this summer?

England manager Gareth Southgate has a difficult couple of months ahead. The 49-year-old is running out of time to select...

Boxing5 days ago

Wilder vs. Fury: Who will ‘come out on top’ in heavyweight rematch?

The most anticipated rematch in boxing is finally upon us, with Tyson Fury and Deontay Wilder set to face off...

Football6 days ago

Pep Guardiola next managerial job: Will ‘City manager move on’ due to ban?

It’s a difficult time for Manchester City and manager Pep Guardiola, who have fallen victim to a two year ban...

golf golf
Golf7 days ago

World Golf Championships: Who will ‘come out on top’ in Mexico?

The golf calendar continues this week, with the likes of Rory McIlroy and Dustin Johnson set to battle it out...

Cricket1 week ago

New Zealand vs. India Test 1 of 2: Visitors backed to ‘get off to winning start’

New Zealand welcome India to Wellington this week in the first of two Test matches between the sides. It’s already...

F11 week ago

F1 pre-season testing: Hamilton ready to ‘retain world title’

The first formula 1 pre-season testing of the season gets underway on Wednesday, with the world’s top drivers all expected...

Politics1 week ago

Next Monarch Odds : Who will ‘take over crown’ from Queen Elizabeth II?

It’s an intriguing time for the Royal Family right now, with Harry and Meghan’s exit undoubtedly causing a stir within...

Industry Insight