Chelsea take on West Ham United at Stamford Bridge on Monday, in a 8pm kick-off in the Premier League.
The Blues are looking to leapfrog rivals Tottenham into fifth place in the table with a win, while the Hammers can overtake their opponents and move as high as sixth with a victory.
Chelsea are 8/15 to win, with the draw 10/3 and a West Ham win 19/4.
Despite two successive defeats away from home, the odds on Chelsea actually seem quite generous to me, with West Ham not really impressing me (nor David Moyes judging by his post-match interviews) with their performances of late despite their good results.
I also fancy Chelsea to be bang up for it and deliver a good performance after two bruising defeats at Everton and Wolves.
I’m happy to back Chelsea and under five goals in the game, then, with 22 of these two sides’ combined matches this season falling under that goal mark.
Two of the three which went over that mark for Chelsea were 3-3 draws against West Brom and Southampton when Kepa was still in their goal, with them looking much more water-tight defensively since, while the other was a 4-1 win against Sheffield United. I don’t see West Ham conceding that many.
To bring the Bet Builder above evens, I’m also happy to back Chelsea to have 3+ corners, with them doing so in every Premier League game this season except when going down to ten men against Liverpool:
If you’re looking for a bigger price, I’m looking at Chelsea to win, BTTS, Over 1 Card for West Ham, Over 2 Corners for West Ham and Over 5 Corners for Chelsea at 9/1.
West Ham have scored in all six away games this season, with Chelsea conceding in four of their six home games, while 3+ corners each team has landed in all bar two of Chelsea’s games this season (vs Liverpool and Southampton). The Blues have had six corners in eight of their 13 matches, with eight of their last nine opponents picking up 2+ cards.
As such, we have to look towards West Ham for player cards tonight, with Vladimir Coufal (16/5 with Betway) the man I have my eyes on. He is likely to be against Ben Chilwell and Christian Pulisic down Chelsea’s left, who are both more than capable of beating a man and drawing a foul. Coufal has been booked twice in 10 games this season and ranks high in West Ham’s tackle and foul counts.
Mark Noble may also get the nod given it is a London derby, with 13/5 best odds available for him to be carded with Bet Victor. 14/5 on Jorginho is also a good price, with the double paying 12/1.
Another price which caught my eye is Sebastian Haller to have 1+ shot on target at 4/5 with Sky Bet. He scored an incredible over-head kick last time out and has tested the goalkeeper in four of his six starts.
I’m also keen on backing Kurt Zouma and Ogbonna to have a headed shot on target with both dangerous from set-pieces this season. The double should pay around 33/1 with Sky Bet.