Brighton & Hove Albion host Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday in a 12:30pm kick-off at the Amex Stadium.
The Seagulls earned a crucial 2-1 victory at Aston Villa last weekend to put some breathing space between themselves and the relegation zone.
Liverpool, meanwhile, have taken 10 points from four league games since Virgil van Dijk’s injury, comprehensively beating Leicester City 3-0 on Sunday, despite going on to lose at home to Atalanta in the Champions League on Wednesday.
The Reds are odds-on favourites at 4/6 to beat Brighton, with the draw 3/1 and a home win 4/1.
With Atalanta and Ajax moving to within two points of Liverpool in Group D, the Reds’ forthcoming fixture against the Dutch side on Tuesday has consequently gained significance.
However, Liverpool are relentless under Jurgen Klopp, having scored two or more goals in all but one of their nine fixtures in the league this season (Manchester City in the recent 1-1 draw being the exception).
Eight of Brighton’s nine matches this season, meanwhile, have seen over one goal scored.
Indeed, these two sides have only kept four clean sheets between them in a combined 18 matches, with Brighton’s 0-0 draw with Burnley the only time either side has failed to score in a match this season.
There should be goals on the south coast, then, so I’m backing Liverpool to score two or more goals again.
Even if one of Sadio Mané or Mohamed Salah are rested, Klopp will still put out a front three which Brighton’s back three (if Graham Potter continues to use that system despite wing-back Tariq Lamptey’s suspension) are likely to find very difficult to handle.
If Klopp goes radical with his rotation, though, I would consider playing safer by backing Over 0 Liverpool and Over 1 Goal for Both Teams Combined.
In addition, I fancy cards with Stuart Attwell in charge. He has averaged six yellow cards per game in his four Premier League games this season, and has shown both sides two or more yellow cards each on an astonishing 15 occasions in his last 19 Premier League matches.
Liverpool aren’t prone to picking up lots of bookings, though, so I will simply add Over 0 Brighton cards and Over 1 Cards for Both Teams Combined to bring our Bet Builder above evens:
BET BUILDER PICTURE
Brighton have picked up at least one card in every league match this season, with Liverpool’s opponents picking up at least one in their last eight league matches, so with Attwell in charge te cards element of this bet should sail in.
On that basis, Over 1 Card for each team may be worth a poke at 10/3 with Attwell’s record.
I have a feeling that he may attempt to be more lenient than usual, having only been awarded two Premier League games in the last two months, but it could prove to be a more competitive game than anticipated if Liverpool do select inexperienced players at the back.
Indeed, the last meeting between the two sides saw five players booked, so a long-shot might be worth a small stake, for example Liverpool to win, both teams to score and over one card for each team @ 14/1 with bet365.
In terms of player cards, Yves Bissouma looks best value at 10/3 @ Bet Victor (or 3/1 @ bet365).
The midfielder has been booked in both of his last two matches, registering more fouls and tackles per game than any Brighton player this season.
Sky Bet are offering another shot on target special, meanwhile, with Mohamed Salah evens to register one or more shot on target in the match.
The Egypt forward has done so in all eight of his league appearances this season, so providing he starts surely has to be backed at a ground he scored twice in almost five months ago.