Belgium take on Russia in Group B of Euro 2020 on Saturday at 20:00 BST.
The match will be played at Gazprom Arena in St. Petersburg, Russia, providing Stanislav Cherchesov’s side with home advantage.
Kevin De Bruyne may miss the match, too, having sustained cheekbone and eye socket damage for Manchester City in the Champions League final two weeks ago.
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Get £20 Risk Free on Belgium v Russia using the code YSKAKQ
However, Belgium remain 7/10 favourites to win the match, with the draw 14/5 and a Russia win 4/1.
Personally I think there’s a hint of value about the Belgians.
While the potential absences of De Bruyne and Axel Witsel in midfield could hurt them, I still think they have enough about them to get over the line against the Russians.
As such, in terms of a safer Bet Builder, I’m going to back Belgium to win and Russia to receive a card at evens.
Russia have received at least one card in each of their last eight competitive matches, often picking up multiple bookings.
Spaniard Antonio Mateu Lahoz has the whistle, too, having averaged 4.78 and 4.67 cards per game in La Liga and the Champions League respectively last season.
One card for each team has landed in 18 of his last 20 matches, so we should be safe backing him to brandish at least one to Russia.
If you’re looking for a bigger price, Belgium to win & Both Teams To Score has been boosted to 7/2 with Sky Bet.
This landed in both of these nations’ meetings during qualifying, with Belgium running out 3-1 and 4-1 winners on their way to winning all 10 Euro 2020 qualifiers.
BTTS also landed in five of these two countries’ recent six World Cup qualifiers combined.
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I can’t get away from Romelu Lukaku’s prices with Sky Bet to score anytime and a brace at 11/8 and 9/1 respectively, too.
The 28-year-old has scored a phenomenal 60 goals in 93 caps for the Red Devils, and is my main tip for the tournament’s Golden Boot.
He should have too much for Russia’s unimpressive defence to handle.
With that in mind, I’ll be keen to back Andrei Semyonov and/or Dmitri Barinov to be carded if both/either start in Russia’s back three.
Belgium to win & Russia to receive a card @ EVS (bet365)
Belgium to win & BTTS @ 7/2 (Sky Bet)
Romelu Lukaku to score anytime @ 11/8 (Sky Bet)
Lukaku to score a brace @ 9/1 (Sky Bet)
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