Arsenal take on Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday in a 5:30pm kick-off at the Emirates Stadium.
After taking an impressive 16 points from their last six league games, the Gunners can move as high as seventh in the table despite a dreadful start to the season.
United, meanwhile, fell to second in midweek after the shock 2-1 defeat at home to bottom of the league Sheffield United.
The Red Devils are marginal 29/20 favourites to bounce back with a win, with Mikel Arteta’s side 9/5 to do the league double over United. The draw is 5/2.
It’s certainly a tough result to call, but United have been extremely impressive on the road this season, winning eight of their 10 away matches.
The two exceptions were draws at Leicester and Liverpool, and it remains to be seen whether Arsenal are at those two sides’ level yet after a favourable run of fixtures of late.
Seven of United’s eight wins on the road have come after conceding first, so 10/1 (Sky Bet or William Hill) looks a great price for this to happen once again.
William Hill are offering a £5 free bet when you stake a £10 single bet so I’ve used them in this instance.
In terms of a Bet Builder, this old rivalry usually sees plenty of cards, with Mike Dean showing three cautions to each team in November’s reverse fixture.
Indeed, eight of the last 11 meetings in all competitions have seen both teams receive at least two cards each, so it’s fair to say that it’s still one of the feistier fixtures in the Premier League.
Michael Oliver officiates the clash at the Emirates, with the 35-year-old showing 30+ booking points in each of his last seven PL games. Six of those seven games also saw both sides receive at least one card. Oliver is averaging 3.24 cards per game overall this season.
I’ll back each team to receive 1+ card, then, alongside Over 2 Cards for Both Teams Combined. I’ll be very surprised if this doesn’t land.
United have only failed to score on the road at Anfield this season, with Arsenal conceding in eight of their 10 home games in the league, so I’ll also back United to score at least once.
Eight of United’s 10 away games have seen at least three goals scored at either end, with seven of Arsenal’s 10 home games seeing 2+ goals scored at either end, so I’ll also back Over 1 Goals for Both Teams Combined.
To bring us to double your money, I’ll also back Over 4 Corners for Both Teams Combined, which has landed in 39 of these sides’ 40 league games combined this season:
If you’re looking for a bigger price, BTTS, 2+ cards each & 3+ corners each is 4/1.
Something else which caught my eye with Oliver is that he has awarded 13 penalties in his 14 PL games this season, including one to Arsenal and United the last time he officiated them on Boxing Day and New Years Day respectively.
A penalty to be awarded in the match is best priced 7/4 (Unibet), but I’m having a cheeky punt on both teams to score a penalty at 40/1 (Bet Victor). Oliver has pointed to the spot on multiple occasions in four of his 14 league games, including in his last match at the Emirates between Arsenal and Chelsea when both sides were beneficiaries, and has given five penalties in his last three league games.
In terms of player cards, Granit Xhaka and Hector Bellerin have each been carded three times in the past in this fixture, with Paul Pogba and Marcus Rashford twice carded against Arsenal.
Bellerin is the most carded player in the league with seven yellows to his name already, while Xhaka and Pogba tend to be fiery characters in big games. Fred and Thomas Partey must also be considered.
Xhaka, Bellerin and Pogba as a treble pays 50/1 (William Hill), while adding Rashford makes it 250/1 (bet365). The forward has been carded three times in the league this season and could be tracking the lively Bukayo Saka.
Another price which caught my eye is Saka and Bruno Fernandes to have 2+ shots on target each at 14/1 (Betfair). Saka has had seven shots on target in his last four league games, with Fernandes landing this in nine of his 19 league starts this season.
Adding Alexandre Lacazette (2+ six times in 13 starts) and Rashford (2+ six times in 18 starts) gives a nice 102/1 longshot.