Arsenal take on Leeds United in the Premier League on Sunday in a 4:30pm kick-off at the Emirates Stadium.
The two sides come into the meeting one point apart, with Arsenal able to move above their opponents into the top half with a victory.
The Gunners are odds-on 5/6 favourites to win the match, with the draw 14/5 and a Leeds win 3/1.
If Kalvin Phillips passes a fitness test to start this match, I think there’s value in opposing Mikel Arteta’s team here.
Arsenal have only won two of their last nine games at home in the PL, with Leeds winning three of their last five on the road.
Phillips is a huge cog in the Marcelo Bielsa machine both on and off the ball, though, so I’ll simply back the visitors to score having done so in 10 of their 11 away games this season.
With Stuart Attwell in charge, cards simply have to be backed. 1+ card each team and 3+ cards in total has landed in 12 of his 13 PL games this season, so I’ll back it once again given that both of these sides rarely avoid picking up a booking:
If you’re looking for a bigger price, BTTS, 1+ card each team, 4+ cards overall and 4+ corners each team is 4/1.
In terms of player cards, I can see Bukayo Saka giving Ezgjan Alioski a tough time at left-back, with the Arsenal man looking a real threat in recent weeks.
Thomas Partey, meanwhile, looks to be still finding his feet in terms of the intensity of the English game, with few sides as slick and free-flowing as Leeds on their day. The midfielder has been booked in both of his last two league starts, with the double paying 10/1.
Stuart Dallas has generally been playing to the left side of Leeds’ midfield trio, so could be worth keeping an eye on at 9/2 (Sky Bet).
I can see plenty of shots in this game, so one price I do have my eye on is Saka, Jack Harrison and Raphina all to land a shot on target at around 9/2 (Betfair).
Harrison and Raphina have both tested the opposition goalkeeper at least once each in Leeds’ last four league games, with Saka doing likewise in five of his last six starts.